Optima HIV modelling

Objetivos de aprendizaje para el registro de actividades: Optima HIV

Allocation of HIV resources in Azerbaijan

Optimizing spending would involve deprioritizing HIV testing for the general population to enable continued scale up of treatment, as well as HIV programs for men who have sex with men and people who inject drugs.

Allocation of HIV resources in Belarus

Optimizing spending would involve deprioritizing HIV testing among the general population to enable continued scale up of ART for all populations and HIV prevention and testing programs for people who inject drugs.

Allocation of HIV resources in Georgia

HIV spending allocations in Georgia are estimated to be close to optimized already, with prioritisation of effective key population programs.

Allocation of HIV resources in Kazakhstan

Optimizing spending would involve deprioritising HIV testing among the general population to enable continued scale up of antiretroviral therapy, pre-exposure prophylaxis for men who have sex with men, and needle-syringe programs for people who inject drugs.

Allocation of HIV resources in Kosovo

The current HIV spending allocation is estimated to be close to optimised. Further optimisation would explore opportunities to scale up antiretroviral therapy coverage by improving linkage and retention to treatment, and strategic information about people who leave the county for treatment in other settings.

Allocation of HIV resources in Kyrgyzstan

Optimizing spending would involve deprioritizing HIV testing for the general<br/>population to enable continued scale up of antiretroviral therapy and maintain spending for programs for people who inject drugs.

Allocation of HIV resources in Moldova

Optimizing spending would involve deprioritizing condom promotion and distribution, needle-syringe programs (NSP) and prevention programs for female sex workers, to continue scaling up antiretroviral therapy for all populations and HIV programs for men who have sex with men.

Allocation of HIV resources in Serbia

Potential savings from reduced antiretroviral therapy unit costs could be reinvested among HIV programs funded by the Republic Health Insurance Fund; optimally this would include further scale-up of antiretroviral therapy followed by investment in pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP).

Allocation of HIV resources in Tajikistan

Optimizing spending would involve continued scale up of antiretroviral therapy and a shift in emphasis toward HIV programs for female sex workers and migrants while maintaining substantial investment in programs for people who inject drugs.

Allocation of HIV resources in Uzbekistan

We estimated the optimized resource allocations within counties, whereby the total HIV budget for each county was kept the same, and across counties, where resources could be shifted between counties.

Improving allocative efficiency of the HIV response in Kenya

We estimated the optimized resource allocations within counties, whereby the total HIV budget for each county was kept the same, and across counties, where resources could be shifted between counties.

Ending the AIDS epidemic in Cambodia

The main purpose of this analysis is to develop an investment scenario that maximises the impact of resource allocations in HIV prevention, tailored to the needs of key populations, differentiated to subpopulations by risk and age, and aligned with the Global AIDS Strategy.

Resource optimization to maximize the HIV response in Eastern Europe and Central Asia

Allocative efficiency modeling analyses were conducted in 11 countries in EECA through partnership with the country Governments, the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, UNAIDS, and Burnet Institute. Participating countries included Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Romania, Tajikistan, Ukraine, and Uzbekistan.

Оптимизация ресурсов для максимизации противодействия эпидемии ВИЧ в Восточной Европе и Центральной Азии

Результаты анализа с применением модели Optima HIV для 11 стран Восточной Европы и Центральной Азии.

Improving efficiency of the HIV response in Malawi

This report outlines findings from an HIV modeling analysis conducted for Malawi by the country team, the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria, the Clinton Health Access Initiative (CHAI), and the Optima Consortium for Decision Science.

Resource optimization to maximize the HIV response in Armenia

An allocative efficiency modeling analysis was conducted through partnership with the Armenian Government, the Global Fund, UNAIDS and Burnet Institute. The Optima HIV model was applied to estimate the optimized resource allocation across a mix of HIV programs.

Resource optimization to maximize the HIV response in Azerbaijan

An allocative efficiency modeling analysis was conducted through partnership with the Azerbaijani Government, the Global Fund, UNAIDS and Burnet Institute. The Optima HIV model was applied to estimate the optimized resource allocation across a mix of HIV programs.

Resource optimization to maximize the HIV response in Belarus

An allocative efficiency modeling analysis was conducted through partnership with the Belarusian Government, the Global Fund, UNAIDS and Burnet Institute. The Optima HIV model was applied to estimate the optimized resource allocation across a mix of HIV programs.

Resource optimization to maximize the HIV response in Georgia

An allocative efficiency modeling analysis was conducted through partnership with the Georgian Government, the Global Fund, UNAIDS and Burnet Institute. The Optima HIV model was applied to estimate the optimized resource allocation across a mix of HIV programs.

Resource optimization to maximize the HIV response in Kazakhstan

An allocative efficiency modeling analysis was conducted through partnership with the Kazak Government, the Global Fund, UNAIDS and Burnet Institute. The Optima HIV model was applied to estimate the optimized resource allocation across a mix of HIV programs.

Resource optimization to maximize the HIV response in Kyrgyzstan

An allocative efficiency modeling analysis was conducted through partnership with the Kyrgyz Government, the Global Fund, UNAIDS and Burnet Institute. The Optima HIV model was applied to estimate the optimized resource allocation across a mix of HIV programs.

Resource optimization to maximize the HIV response in Moldova

An allocative efficiency modeling analysis was conducted through partnership with the Moldovan Government, the Global Fund, UNAIDS, and Burnet Institute. The Optima HIV model was applied to estimate the optimized resource allocation across a mix of HIV programs.

Resource optimization to maximize the HIV response in Romania

An allocative efficiency modeling analysis was conducted through partnership with the Government of Romania, the Global Fund, UNAIDS and Burnet Institute. The Optima HIV model was applied to estimate the optimized resource allocation across a mix of HIV programs.

Resource optimization to maximize the HIV response in Tajikistan

An allocative efficiency modeling analysis was conducted through partnership with the Tajikistani Government, the Global Fund, UNAIDS, and Burnet Institute. The Optima HIV model was applied to estimate the optimized resource allocation across a mix of HIV programs.

Resource optimization to maximize the HIV response in Ukraine

An allocative efficiency modeling analysis was conducted through partnership with the Ukrainian Government, the Global Fund, UNAIDS and Burnet Institute. The Optima HIV model was applied to estimate the optimized resource allocation across a mix of HIV programs.

Improving the allocative efficiency of the HIV response across the care cascade in Zimbabwe

Efficiency is needed in the response to further the progress towards national HIV targets. To address this need, a 2-phased HIV epidemic and allocative and implementation efficiency analysis of the HIV response, with a particular focus on the HIV testing and treatment cascade was conducted using Optima HIV. Optima HIV is a mathematical model for determining an optimized resource allocation across a combination of HIV programs for maximizing defined outcomes such as reductions in incidence and deaths.

Improving the allocative efficiency of Kosovo’s HIV response

An allocative efficiency analysis of Kosovo’s HIV response was conducted using Optima HIV, an epidemiological model of HIV transmission that is coupled with a programmatic component and a resource optimization algorithm.

Optimizing investments in the national HIV response of Mexico

In the hopes of assisting the Government of Mexico in further strengthening its HIV investment, the authors try to answer the question How can HIV funding be optimally allocated to the combination of HIV response interventions that will yield the highest impact in the shortest period.

Optimizando la inversión del plan de respuesta de Colombia al VIH

El objetivo del estudio es mejorar la eficiencia distributiva del gasto nacional en el control del VIH, en apoyo a las políticas nacionales sobre el tema, utilizando una herramienta matemática elaborada conjuntamente por el Banco Mundial y el “Optima Consortium for Decision Science”, denominada ÓPTIMA-VIH.

Allocating HIV funding efficiently in Myanmar

The report summarizes the findings of an allocative efficiency analysis of Myanmar's national HIV epidemic and response.

Allocative efficiency analysis (HIV) 2015–2030 for Karnataka and Punjab, India

The objective of the analysis was to determine (i) the optimal programmatic funding allocations to minimise new HIV infections and deaths and (ii) the optimal programmatic funding allocations to achieve specific impact and coverage targets at the lowest costs in the medium-term.

Optimización de las inversiones para la respuesta al VIH en Perú

Óptimao VIH es un modelo matemático sobre la transmisión y progresión del VIH, integrado en un marco de análisis económico y programas orientados a VIH.

Optimizing investments for a sustainable and efficient HIV response in Togo

This report summarizes the findings of an allocative efficiency analysis of Togo’s HIV response.

Optimización de la inversión en VIH/SIDA en Argentina

El objetivo del estudio es realizar el análisis de eficiencia distributiva de VIH mediante una herramienta técnica denominada Óptima VIH.

Ending AIDS in Johannesburg: an analysis of the status and scale-up towards HIV treatment and prevention targets

This brief provides the key results of a modeling analysis estimating what it would take in terms of programmatic targets and costs for Johannesburg to meet the fast-track targets and demonstrate the impact that this would have.

Optimizing investments for a sustainable and efficient HIV response in Senegal

The report summarizes the findings of an allocative efficiency analysis to support Senegal's national HIV response.

HIV investment in Cote d’Ivoire: optimized allocation of HIV resources for a sustainable and efficient HIV response

This report summarizes the findings of an allocative efficiency analysis to support Côte d'Ivoire’s national HIV response.

Optimizing investments in Bulgaria’s HIV response

Bulgaria's HIV response requires a shared, long-term vision for sustainable HIV financing that harnesses wider health sector reforms and emerging financing models.

Optimizing investments in Belarus for the national HIV response

This report summarizes the findings of an allocative efficiency analysis on Belarus's national HIV epidemic and response conducted in 2014-15.

Optimizing investments in the Kyrgyz Republic’s HIV response

This report summarizes the findings of an allocative efficiency analysis on the Kyrgyz Republic's national HIV epidemic and response conducted in 2014-15.

Value for money in Ukraine’s HIV response: strategic investment and improved efficiency

An HIV allocative efficiency analysis has been carried out, which revealed that there are several key opportunities to change the course of Ukraine’s HIV epidemic.

Optimizing investments in Georgia’s HIV response

Testing key populations and their sexual partners is the most cost-effective strategy to identify those who require antiretroviral therapy.

Optimizing HIV investments in Armenia

This report summarizes the findings of an allocative efficiency analysis on Armenia's national HIV epidemic and response conducted in 2014–15.

Optimizing investments in Kazakhstan’s HIV response

As part of a regional initiative, Kazakhstan conducted an HIV allocative efficiency analysis in 2014 to 2015 to inform more strategic investment in HIV programs.

Science addressing drugs and HIV: second scientific statement

In March 2014, the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime organized within the frame of the high-level review of the 57th session of CND, the first scientific consultation in Vienna, entitled 'Science addressing drugs and HIV: state of the art', where it brought together leading scientists to discuss the latest developments in prevention and treatment of HIV and AIDS as it relates to drug use.

Allocative and implementation efficiency in HIV prevention and treatment for people who inject drugs

Increasing efficiency of HIV programs for people who inject drugs is a key step towards avoiding implicit rationing and transparent allocation of resources where and how they would have the largest impact on the health of people who inject drugs, and thereby ensuring that funding becomes a global best buy in public health.

Optimizing investments in the national HIV responses of Indonesia and Thailand

A report for World Health Organization Southeast Asia Regional Office. Mathematical modelling was conducted to inform development of the new SEAR Health Sector Strategy on HIV.

How allocative efficiency analysis supported by mathematical modelling changed HIV investment in Sudan

This brief presents a real-life example of how a group of government decision-makers, program managers, researchers and development partners worked together to improve the allocation of HIV resources in Sudan and thereby better address the HIV objectives that the country strives to achieve.

Optimizing investments in Moldova’s HIV response

This report summarizes the findings of an allocative efficiency analysis on Moldova's national HIV epidemic and response conducted in 2014-15.

Optimizing investments in Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia’s HIV response

This report summarizes the findings of an Allocative efficiency analysis on the Former Yugoslav Republic (FYR) of Macedonia's national HIV epidemic and response conducted in 2014-15.

Modelling an optimised HIV investment approach for Uzbekistan

With a moderate increase of the investment volume until 2020 combined with an optimised investment allocation the national HIV response in Uzbekistan can be brought on a trajectory which fulfils the basic rights to access to all essential HIV services for those in need.

Zambia’s HIV response

This report summarizes findings from an allocative efficiency and financial commitment analysis conducted for the Government of Zambia by the World Bank and the University of New South Wales.

Investing for results: how Asia-Pacific countries can invest for ending AIDS

This report examines the resource challenges that confront the AIDS response in Asia and the Pacific. It proposes a set of interventions that will help overcome them and steer the region towards ending its AIDS epidemic.

Sudan’s HIV response: value for money in a low-level HIV epidemic

This report summarizes the findings of an allocative efficiency analysis on Sudan s national HIV epidemic and response conducted in 2014.

Optimizing allocation of resources for HIV/AIDS responses

Presented to the United Nations General Assembly. If the world is to end the AIDS epidemic by 2030, rapid progress must be made by 2020. Quickening the pace for essential HIV prevention and treatment approaches will limit the epidemic to more manageable levels and enable countries to move towards the elimination phase.

HIV mathematical modelling to support Swaziland's development of its HIV investment case

To assess the HIV investment case in Swaziland we used a mathematical model of HIV transmission and disease progression called Optima (formerly known as Prevtool).

HIV resource needs, availabilities and gaps across ASEAN countries

Presentation slides on the AIDS funding landscape in Asia and the Pacific.

Niger’s HIV response: targeted investments for a health future

The main objective of the study is to provide a comprehensive analysis of HIV and health financing needs, investment opportunities, and health system development in the context of the Government of Niger's HIV National Strategic Plan 2013-17.

Ukraine HIV program efficiency study: can Ukraine improve value for money in HIV service delivery?

With the current changes in the international HIV financing landscape and the anticipated reduction in Global Fund financing, it is expected that the last two years of the Ukraine 2014-­‐18 National AIDS Strategy will require increasing domestic resources, or more efficient implementation of the same services. This leaves Ukraine with approximately three years to develop and implement a transition strategy in order to meet its growing HIV response financing challenge.

HIV investment in Armenia: analysis and recommendations

Armenia’s response to its HIV epidemic is underfunded, and currently prevalence and incidence are still increasing. Most of Armenia’s HIV funding has historically come from international sources.

Modelling an optimized investment approach for Tajikistan

With a moderate increase of the investment volume until 2020 combined with an optimized investment allocation the national HIV response in Tajikistan can be brought on a trajectory which fulfils the basic rights to access to essential HIV services for those in need and makes ending the epidemic threat of HIV/AIDS in Tajikistan a realistic goal if an environment without stigma and discrimination is provided so that services available will be accepted and used by the affected communities.

Моделирование подхода оптимизированного инвестирования для Таджикистана

В стремлении продемонстрировать свою наибольшую политическую приверженность борьбе с ВИЧ и СПИД на самом высоком уровне и воспрепятствовать вредному социально-экономическому воздействию, которому подвергаются сообщества, Национальная программа по борьбе с ВИЧ/СПИД в Таджикистане обратилась к донорскому сообществу с просьбой об оказании технического содействия в моделировании для Таджикистана оптимального инвестиционного подхода в контексте устойчивого финансирования национального реагирования на ВИЧ.

Evaluation of a decade of DFID and World Bank-supported HIV and AIDS programmes in Vietnam from 2003 to 2012

Evaluation of a decade of DFID and World Bank supported HIV and AIDS programmes in Vietnam from 2003 to 2012, including DFID's management response.

HIV resource needs, efficient allocation and resource mobilization for the Republic of Belarus

Acting strategically now can avert 5,800 HIV infections over 5 years; delaying by 3 years would lead to an unnecessary additional 3,000 infections.

Assessment of the allocation of HIV funding in Indonesia

This study aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness and return on investment of HIV programs implemented during 2003-2010 in Indonesia and to contribute to the allocative efficiency of the HIV prevention response in Indonesia.

Papua New Guinea HIV model: explaining the past, describing the present, and forecasting the future of the HIV epidemic in PNG

The PNG HIV Model is a detailed mathematical model of HIV transmission in Papua New Guinea. It was developed as a tool to evaluate and understand HIV epidemic trajectories within Papua New Guinea with the purpose of evaluating the impact of potential HIV interventions and to assist with policy development.

Evaluation of the epidemiological impact of harm reduction programs on HIV in Vietnam

This study assessed the effectiveness of efforts to distribute needle-syringes and condoms and changing risk behavior to reduce sharing of injecting equipment and engaging in unprotected sex so that HIV transmission rates would decline.

HIV in Indonesia model

The HIV in Indonesia model is flexible for users to define and assess different targeted scenario combinations of past and future epidemic patterns and programs. The model is easily adaptable for application to different geographical levels within Indonesia.

Epidemiology and modeling report on HIV/AIDS in the Philippines

This report will attempt to evaluate the current epidemiology and the 'low and slow' development of the HIV epidemic in the Philippines.

Evaluation of the potential impact of the global economic crisis on HIV epidemics in Southeast Asia

Prepared for AusAID, this report presents findings from a study that investigates the potential impact of the economic crisis on HIV epidemics through the use of mathematical modelling.

Mathematical models to investigate recent trends in HIV notifications among men who have sex with men in Australia

This report suggests promoting condom use and targeting other sexually transmitted infections are the most effective interventions for interrupting HIV in men who have sex with men.